Trump's Hispanic Support Collapses to Record Low as Midterms Loom

With just weeks remaining before the November 3 midterm elections, a new Reuters-Ipsos poll has revealed that President Donald Trump's approval rating among Hispanic voters has fallen to 24 percent — the lowest figure recorded at any point during either of his two terms in the White House. The six-day survey, which concluded on Monday, paints a stark picture of eroding support for the president within a demographic that only two years ago appeared to be shifting decisively toward the Republican Party.

Overall, the poll found that just 32 percent of American voters approve of the job Trump is doing as president. That figure has remained essentially flat since September, suggesting the president's broader standing with the electorate has stabilized at a historically weak level. The more dramatic movement, however, has come among Latino voters, where Trump's numbers have continued to slide downward even as his national approval holds steady.

The poll indicates that Hispanic voters are now roughly twice as likely to support Democratic candidates as Republican ones in the upcoming congressional elections. Approximately 52 percent of Hispanic respondents said they intend to vote for Democrats in November, compared with only 26 percent who plan to back Republicans. That thirty-point gap represents a significant reversal from the momentum Republicans appeared to enjoy with Latino voters following the 2024 election.

That momentum was real and measurable. According to estimates from the Pew Research Center, Trump and his Democratic opponent, Kamala Harris, finished the 2024 presidential race within just three percentage points of each other among Hispanic voters. Harris captured 51 percent of that vote, while Trump took 48 percent — a striking improvement over his performance in 2020, when he managed only 36 percent of Hispanic support. That twelve-point jump between the two election cycles was widely credited by analysts and political strategists as a key factor in Trump's return to the White House, particularly in battleground states with growing Latino populations. His 2020 campaign, by contrast, ended in defeat at the hands of Democrat Joe Biden.

The new polling suggests those gains have now largely evaporated. What Republicans hoped would be a durable realignment among Hispanic voters appears, at least for the moment, to have been a temporary surge rather than a permanent shift. The decline in support comes as Trump has pursued aggressive immigration enforcement policies that have drawn criticism even from within his own party.

One of the most notable Republican voices to break ranks is Representative Maria Elvira Salazar of Florida, who released a campaign advertisement last month directly addressing the president. In the ad, Salazar warned Trump that "the same Hispanics who helped you get to the White House in 2024 feel betrayed today." She went on to criticize the administration's hardline immigration crackdown, stating that "some of your immigration enforcement efforts have gone too far." Salazar specifically pointed to the detention and deportation of immigrants who have no criminal record as a source of deep concern among Latino communities.

The midterm elections are widely viewed as a referendum on Trump's second term. Control of both chambers of Congress hangs in the balance, with Republicans fighting to preserve their majorities in the House of Representatives and the Senate. Should Democrats manage to win a majority in one or both houses, they would be positioned to place substantial constraints on the president's legislative agenda for the remainder of his time in office — a prospect that has energized Democratic campaigns across the country.

Democratic candidates and party strategists have seized on Trump's persistently low approval ratings, hoping to convert public frustration with the president into tangible voter turnout. The party appears to be betting that discontent with the administration's handling of key issues will translate into momentum at the ballot box.

Beyond immigration, experts have pointed to other factors weighing on the president's popularity. Concerns about the cost of living have emerged as a dominant theme in voter surveys, and Trump's decision to launch a war with Iran has further complicated the political landscape for Republican candidates. Analysts have warned that the combination of these factors — rising prices, an unpopular conflict abroad, and shrinking support among key demographic groups — could drag down Republican contenders in competitive races nationwide.

Despite the discouraging polling numbers, Trump has remained publicly defiant about his party's prospects. He has continued to express confidence that Republicans will perform well in November and has defended his decision to place himself at the center of the GOP's campaign strategy. In recent weeks, the president launched an aggressive 32-day blitz of cross-country rallies leading up to the November 3 vote, signaling that he intends to be the face of the Republican effort.

"Just so you understand, they all want me to go," Trump said recently, pushing back against suggestions that some Republicans would prefer he maintain a lower profile during the final stretch of the campaign. "They all want me to go campaign."

Whether that strategy will help or hurt Republican candidates in swing districts — particularly those with significant Hispanic populations — remains an open question. What the latest polling makes clear is that the coalition Trump assembled in 2024 has frayed, and the November election will reveal just how much that erosion costs his party at the polls.